Ecological Crisis Timeline: Difference between revisions

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'''It is impossible for anyone to say, what or when catastrophes will be brought by the [[ecological crisis]].''' The best predictions we have of a timeline are illustrated in '''Figure 1,''' which comes from a simple equation:
'''It is impossible for anyone to say, what or when catastrophes will be brought by the [[ecological crisis]].''' The best predictions we have of a timeline are illustrated in '''Figure 1,''' which comes from a simple equation:


'''''P''' (population) '''x S''' (services used by people) '''x E''' (energy needed to power those services) '''x R''' (resources required) '''= [[Externalities]]'''''


But, as these issues are not on our doorstep, like the film "[[wikipedia:Don't_Look_Up|''Don't look up'']]", many of us carry on with business as usual.


'''P''' (population) '''x S''' (services used by people) '''x E''' (energy needed to power those services) '''x R''' (resources required) '''= [[Externalities]]'''
=== Tipping Point ===
 
[[Maslow's hierarchy]] is a psychological theory that tries to explain human motivation. It highlights the fact that business as usual rests on the foundation stones of people being fed, watered and entertained. If, for any populace, this is disturbed such as lack of '''food''' or '''water''' society would quickly forget higher pursuits and would revert to a more basic, primal form.  
 
 
Everyday, by doing nothing or by being ineffective we are purchasing yet another lottery ticket for a new disaster. Looking out of the window you can already see 40C temperatures in London, water shortages on the West coast of the US and major famines raging through Asia and Africa. But, as these issues are not on our doorstep, like the film "[[wikipedia:Don't_Look_Up|''Don't look up'']]", we carry on business as usual.  
 
However, if the lowest rung of [[Maslow's hierarchy]] for any populace is disturbed such as lack of '''food''' or '''water''' this can set off a series of events which will affect everyone in a country. For instance, if there are mass crop failures our “''Just in Time''” delivery, system adopted by the vast majority of businesses to reduce cost, means most stores only keep 3 days' worth of food on site, meaning we are only nine meals from a catastrophe.


=== Extrapolation ===
=== Extrapolation ===
By applying this equation geographically and factoring the current population, energy capacity, water supply and resources of specific localities a map of the predicted worst affected places has been created below.
By applying this equation geographically and factoring the current population, energy capacity, water supply and resources of specific localities a map. It seems the most likely tipping point would be dramatically rising sea levels or a series of mass crop failures. Geographically, the worst affected areas are listed below.
[[File:555.gif|center|700x700px]]
[[File:555.gif|center|700x700px]]
''But what will happen at this point?'' History has shown, from the Roman Empire to 1930's Germany, when a major crisis arises people blame the issue directly at those in power and [[Eco-Totalitarianism vs Eco-Fascism|fascism]] grows.
''But what will happen at this point?'' History has shown, that from the Roman Empire to 1930's Germany, when a major crisis arises people blame the issue directly at those in power and [[Eco-Totalitarianism vs Eco-Fascism|fascism]] grows.


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Latest revision as of 02:22, 15 September 2022

Timeline of global risk
Figure 1. Timeline of global risk

It is impossible for anyone to say, what or when catastrophes will be brought by the ecological crisis. The best predictions we have of a timeline are illustrated in Figure 1, which comes from a simple equation:

P (population) x S (services used by people) x E (energy needed to power those services) x R (resources required) = Externalities

But, as these issues are not on our doorstep, like the film "Don't look up", many of us carry on with business as usual.

Tipping Point

Maslow's hierarchy is a psychological theory that tries to explain human motivation. It highlights the fact that business as usual rests on the foundation stones of people being fed, watered and entertained. If, for any populace, this is disturbed such as lack of food or water society would quickly forget higher pursuits and would revert to a more basic, primal form.

Extrapolation

By applying this equation geographically and factoring the current population, energy capacity, water supply and resources of specific localities a map. It seems the most likely tipping point would be dramatically rising sea levels or a series of mass crop failures. Geographically, the worst affected areas are listed below.

555.gif

But what will happen at this point? History has shown, that from the Roman Empire to 1930's Germany, when a major crisis arises people blame the issue directly at those in power and fascism grows.


Further Reading

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